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Hank Paulson led the charge this morning talking about the need and credibility of the GSE's. Oil was up for a while but after Tropical Storm Dolly headed further south than the oil and gas infrastructure that locked in heavy oil selling. The major focus continues to be earnings and financial stocks in particular. Below are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11601.60 (+134.26)
S&P500 1276.80 (+16.80)
NASDAQ 2303.96 (+24.43)
10YR T-Note 4.097 (+0.03%)
52-Week Lows
Top Analyst Calls

American Express Company (NYSE: AXP) was one of the more poor financial stocks today after the company choked on earnings last night. It is also facing deteriorating business despite it being thought of as the highest quality credit card around. Shares were down 9.2% at $37.13 in today's final minutes.

Today was light on the economic front as far as impact numbers. The June leading economic indicators were down at -0.1%, and the May gain of +0.1% was revised lower to -0.2%. This shows little argument for a strengthening economy. Oil showed how it can still rise as tropical storm Dolly is in the Gulf of Mexico and no deal was reached with Iran, with prices back above $131.00 per barrel. Today was looking like a gain at the start, but the market slid as the day went on.

Below are today's unofficial closing bell index levels:

DJIA 11.467.67 (-28.90)
S&P 500 1259.72 (-0.96)
NASDAQ 2279.69 (-3.09)
10 YR T-NOTE 4.067% (-0.014%)
52-WEEK LOWS
Top Analyst Calls

Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) showed a more than 4.6% gain at $28.80 in today's final minutes after the earnings report this morning came in far above lowered expectations. This stock is now up over 50% in a few days.

Today might have been one of the more boring options expiration dates. If you pretend that technology stocks weren't a part of the market, today was rather stable considering the major bounces we have seen. Oil stayed under $129.00 per barrel, which didn't give the bears much meat to chew on. We had essentially no government economic data today. Here are today's unofficial closing levels:

• DJIA 11,496.24 (+49.58)
• S&P500 1260.65 (+0.33)
• NASDAQ 2282.78 (-29.52)
• 10YR T-Note 4.081% (+0.043%)
• 52-WEEK LOWS
• Top Analyst Upgrades
• Top Analyst Downgrades

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is set report earnings after the close of trading. Read a FULL EARNINGS PREVIEW. Shares of Apple were down over 3% at $166.10 in today's final minutes of trading.

The bulls have scored another coup and laid the bears out on the streets just like it was Pamplona. Yep, there's no "Running of the Bears" after all. Oil rolled over for a third day and a more than $4.00 drop took oil futures back under $130.00. Financial stocks again lead the way on earnings and on a government mandated short squeeze. This may just be the start, or it could just be sharp short covering in stocks. One thing is for sure, there's plenty of good news and bad news to argue about.

Below are the unofficial closing bell levels for major index levels:

DJIA 11,429.48 +190.20 +1.69%
S&P 500 1,258.50 +13.14 +1.06%
NASDAQ 2,312.00 +27.15 +1.19%
10YR T-NOTE 4.038% (+0.104%)
52-WEEK LOWS
Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) was one of the losers today after the company posted $0.43 EPS (non-GAAP) and $2.2 Billion in revenues, but mixed guidance ahead took shares of the online auction giant down by over 14% by the end of today in the final minutes to a 52-week low of $24.12.

Today was a clear win for the bulls, although the bears aren't forgotten by any measure. Oil fell another $4.00 today and to around $134/barrel. The CPI report also came in less timid than some PPI watchers were expecting, although it is still very high. Today's rally is probably more attributable to pricing action in banking and transportation stocks. Even the stodgy FOMC minutes didn't hurt today.

Below are the unofficial closing bell levels for index levels today:

DJIA 11240.02 (+277.48)
S&P500 1244.98 (+30.07)
NASDAQ 2284.85 (+69.14)
10YR T-Note 3.934 (+0.09%)
52-Week Lows
Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

Airline earnings came out very cautiously but not as bad as many would have guessed and didn't have the ring of any immediate death sentences for the industry. AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR), the parent of American Airlines, managed to post better than expected gains before items even if its losses were near $1 billion. Its shares were up over 33% at $5.90 in today's final minutes. This may have actually been the best day ever for major airline stocks.

Today was nothing short of a wild trading day and despite the levels seen at the close it is still a toss up over whether the bulls or bears won today. Merrill Lynch has said that the commodities cycle may have peaked in the first half of this year. It noted that the S&P/GSCI commodity index was up roughly 41% during the first half of 2008, which is the largest gain since the index inception. This may have only been one factor, but oil fell as much as $9.00 per barrel in the biggest one-day dollar drop since 1991. We did even briefly see the VIX hit that magic 30.0 reading. Below are the unofficial closing bell levels:

DJIA 10,961.72 (-93.47)
S&P500 1214.96 (-13.34)
NASDAQ 2215.71 (+2.84)
10YR T-Note 3.844% (-0.036%)
52-WEEK LOWS
TOP ANALYST UPGRADES
TOP ANALYST DOWNGRADES

Genentech, Inc. (NYSE: DNA) rose today despite a weak earnings report and despite it saying it was going to act like an old industrial company with a share buyback plan. Shares were up over 5% at $79.37 in todays final minutes.

Today would be described as being choppy disappointment at best. The markets started out strong on a government bailout proposal for GSE's but traders went right back to shorting financials on big gap ups. After today, we'll get major earnings reports coming on a non-stop basis and tomorrow we'll also start to see some key data around producer prices tomorrow morning. Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11,052.10 (-48.44)
S&P500 1,228.02 (-11.46)
NASDAQ 2,212.87 (-26.21)
10YR T-Note 3.88% (-0.06%)
52-WEEK LOWS
TOP ANALYST UPGRADES
TOP ANALYST DOWNGRADES

Anheuser-Busch Companies, Inc. (NYSE: BUD) saw a gain as the company finally capitulated and agreed to be acquired now that InBev boosted its buyout offer price to $70.00 from $65.00.

Hopefully we are either getting toward the beginning of the end in this bear trend. If not, we are in for a long 2008 between presidential candidates bantering caught in a weak economy and a down trending market. The daily sell-off is hard to argue against since buying only works for a short period right now. About the best thing the bulls could hang a shingle on today was an initial flat reading seen in some index after the open. That wasn't to hold. All of the same reasons that the bulls hung on to were overrun by the same arguments the bears have been using all along.

Below are the unofficial closing bell levels:

DJIA 11,146.30 (-238.40)
S&P500 1,244.66 (-29.04)
NASDAQ 2.234.89 (-59.55)
10YR T-Note 3.834% (-0.046%)
52-WEEK LOWS
TOP ANALYST UPGRADES
TOP ANALYST DOWNGRADES

Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) was one of the bigger losers in key technology on two different reports causing concern on Wall Street. Shares were down over 5.3% at $21.66 in today's final minutes.

QLogic Corp. (NASDAQ: QLGC) was a winner after it actually raised guidance. Shares were up over 9% today in the final minutes at $15.27.

VeriSign Inc. (NASDAQ: VRSN) was a standout winner today. Shares were raised, although there are more questions than answers outstanding on this stock now. Shares were up 2.8% at $33.77 in today's final minutes.

Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) shares were down over 2% at $24.09 despite rumors on Jerry Yang about to resign. I called the company, and it denied such rumors right on the spot.

Oil was down another $5.00 per barrel today, yet that failed to cause a major rally despite a $9.00 in just two days. Today's end of day rally was led by financials after an FDIC conference which led to excitement about the sector. If you were looking for any brightness in home sales, May's pending home sales came in at -4.7% year over year. We also saw wholesale inventories in May rise by +0.8%. Perhaps more interesting is that the MAY Consumer Credit rose more than expected to $7.8 Billion. Below are the unofficial closing bell levels for today:
DJIA 11,384.21 (+152.25)
S&P500 1,273.68 (+21.37)
NASDAQ 2,294.42 (+51.10)
10YR T-Note 3.88% (-0.05%)
52-WEEK LOWS
TOP 10 ANALYST CALLS

Hank Paulson's speech gave some support after his speech didn't ring of the "Death of GSE's" and shares of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) were up over 10% at $17.40 in today's final minutes.

If we told you that a $3.00-plus drop in the price of oil wouldn't cause a major stock rally, it might only not be a surprise the bears who believe we are headed lower no matter what. Today was one where the markets spent much time in negative territory and then recovering towards the end of the day before making one last dive. If you think it was a quiet day, we had nearly a 300-point difference between today's high in the morning and the lows before today's recovery. These are today's unofficial closing levels:

• DJIA 11,227.72 (-60.82)
• S&P500 1,252.64 (-10.26)
• NASDAQ 2,243.11 (-2.27)
• 10-YR T-Note 3.93% (-0.043%)
• 52-Week Lows
• Top 10 Analyst Calls

The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) saw a severe downgrade after Lehman cut it to Underweight on its premium to peers and weakness tied to Theme Park exposure. Shares were down over 2% at $30.22 in today's final minutes.

Today was a good end to a strange trading week, while many shares had light volume with today's half-day trading session. Non-Farm payrolls declined worse than expected to 62,000, and May was revised higher to 62,000 jobs lost as well. The ISM non-Manufacturing came in again under 50 at a very weak 48.2, signaling growth isn't back to being close to the table. The dollar traders were probably less than thankful after the European Central Bank raised its overnight rates and as oil neared $146.00 per barrel intra-day. These are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

• DJIA 11,288.79 (+72.79)
• S&P500 1,262.88 (+1.36)
• NASDAQ 2,245.38 (-6.08)
• 10YR T-Note 3.963% (+0.004%)
• 52-Week Lows
• Top Analyst Calls

We actually handed an award to analysts for a tie in the Worst Analyst Calls of the Week. They were that late.

Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT) saw a rise of almost 1% to $54.75 after the FDA approved its XIENCE drug eluting stent.

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) saw a horrific drop after the company's earnings warnings. This is what happens when your new product fails enough that it increased the severity. Shares were down 30% at $12.49 at the close.

Penn National Gaming (NASDAQ: PENN) actually rose despite the merger finally being called off. We knew this was coming. Shares closed up 3.7% at $29.66 today.

Have a great weekend, and remember markets are closed Friday in observance of the July 4 holiday.

Jon C. Ogg

After a brief refreshment, today just ended up being ugly rather than what many were hoping would be a boring day. Today's action was likely due more to analyst concerns, but a late-day news report on a security breach scare at LAX airport may have added stress to a trading day that would have otherwise been quiet. The markets are grossly oversold, but there just seems to be very few reasons for traders to hit their "BUY" buttons on keyboards.

These are UNOFFICIAL closing bell levels for major index readings:

• DJIA 11,218.77 (-163.49)
• S&P500 1262.24 (-22.67)
• NASDAQ 2251.46 (-53.51)
• 10 YR T-Note 2.959% (-0.033%)
• 52-WEEK LOWS
• Top 10 Analyst Calls

General Motors (NYSE: GM) was the daily disaster due analyst call. Merrill Lynch downgraded the stock to Underperform and noted that "the chances of bankruptcy aren't impossible." 24/7 Wall St. noted the same weeks before, and we even posted odds on what the chances are that major auto or airline companies would have to file for protection by the end of 2008 to early 2009.

The bulls got to lead the first day of the quarter, although we would note that if today was the norm that trading volatility isn't slowing down regardless of the direction. Oil rose again toward session highs on tensions and the usual myriad of reasons we cite for oil rising (yes, it's that routine). Here are today's unofficial closing levels:

• DJIA 11,381.77 (+31.51)
• S&P500 1284.89 (+4.89)
• NASDAQ 2304.97 (+11.99)
• 10YR T-Note 3.992% (+0.013%)
• 52-WEEK LOWS

We actually saw many financial sector upgrades from research firms today, which sent many of the corresponding shares higher in what feels like a "for once" statement. We would caution that later in the day an analyst report did note other banks would need more capital (again).

Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX) reaches an interesting milestone this morning. The terms of its paid search advertising deal with Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG), give the search giant the right to require AOL to register Google's 5% equity interest for sale in an initial public offering as of July 1, 2008.

It isn't a forced IPO of the unit -- or at least it doesn't have to be. Time Warner has the right to purchase Google's equity interest for cash or shares of Time Warner common stock based on the appraised fair market value of the equity interest in lieu of conducting an initial public offering.

FULL DETAILS can be seen in this filing for the terms and exceptions.

It is hard to know what Google will do, but I think Google will likely want to keep the AOL stake. If not, it is pretty hard to imagine Time Warner chief Jeff Bewkes allowing 5% of AOL to go public (in this lousy market) or be sold to someone that the company wasn't fully on board with. It seems he'd have little choice but to buy back the equity interest.

Win or lose, after two years time's finally up.

The good news is that we saw a Monday buying interest spree after a horrible prior week. Sellers did come in late in the day after the markets traded higher earlier, putting the markets on the verge of a negative day. The bad news is that today was the end of the quarter and it looks like we have now finished down three consecutive quarters in the U.S. stock market. Whether or not it is a bear market seems to depend on whom you consult, but things are tough for the public investor right now. This morning oil was around $143.00 on fresh Iran-Israel tensions and here were the unofficial closing bell levels today:

• DJIA 11,338.78 (-7.73)
• S&P500 1,279.21 (+0.83)
• NASDAQ 2,292.98 (-22.65)
• 10YR T-Note 3.979% (-0.011%)
• TOP 10 ANALYST CALLS

General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) did finally see a bounce after a research analyst came out showing anecdotal evidence that the current discount to the market is very close to major inflection points. Shares of GE were up 1.7% at $26.69 in today's final minutes.